Market Overview

Fear over what could or could not happen at tonight’s FOMC meeting combined with end of month window dressing sent Wall Street into a spin overnight, with stocks losing between 1-2%, taking out...

The value of modeling recession risk-based multiple indicators is a hardy perennial. The latest example comes by way of aggregating trends in the 50 US state economies for estimating the odds that an...

Tomorrow, markets expect the Fed to have a similar message as the previous meetings. While rate cuts are highly unlikely, a hawkish surprise from Powell could jolt markets. Watch key indicators like...

The return of Japanese traders to their desks after a long weekend break has seen some reduction in volatility in Yen today following the spike from last week’s meeting while Chinese stocks are...

Wall Street continued its rebound overnight although European stocks stumbled as tech stock earnings, particularly Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) helped steady the risk ship. The USD pulled back against most of...

In case you missed it, a $5 trillion tax hike looms over American households and businesses in President Joe Biden’s latest budget proposal, which would include a 25% annual minimum tax on...

This will be one of the busier weeks of the year with earnings, the Fed, lots of data, and a Treasury Quarterly Refunding announcement. There are many differing views on the QRA, and there is a good...

The Biggest MYTH of Trading is that more trading equals more money.Overtrading is one of the most dangerous trading behaviors.

Wall Street rebounded on Friday night as European stocks also lifted as the latest US core PCE (personal consumption expenditure) figures came in cooler than expected, driving expectations of a sooner...

In Q1 2024, the US crossed the historic milestone of paying over $1 trillion on interest payments. As a consequence of an unprecedented $5 trillion money supply boost since 2020, the US experienced an...

Yesterday’s first-quarter GDP report delivered a one-two punch for markets: slower-than-expected growth and hotter-than-expected inflation. In reaction, stocks fell and US Treasury yields rose....

The latest retail sales data suggests a robust consumer, leading economists to become even more optimistic about more robust economic growth this year. To wit: “It has been two years since...

GDP and PCE inflation data disappointed yesterday. This data raises the question: will it be possible to beat inflation without triggering a recession? Meanwhile, the US dollar has corrected, with...

US 10-Year moved sharply higher on surprise GDP report. What's next? Original Post