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Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly losses on dovish rates outlook

Published 23/02/2018, 03:08 pm
Updated 23/02/2018, 03:10 pm
© Reuters.  Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly losses on dovish rates outlook

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Feb 23 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars slipped on Friday and were on track for weekly losses as investors bet interest rates in the two countries will remain at record lows while the United States continues to tighten policy.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 slipped 0.2 percent to $0.7827, not far from a 1-1/2 month trough of $0.7756 set in early February. For the week, it is down 1 percent.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 fell 0.5 percent to $0.7303, a level not seen since Feb. 13. The kiwi has fallen in four out of the last five sessions and is set for its worst weekly showing since mid-November.

The antipodean currencies have had a golden run since late 2017, largely on the back of solid investor appetite for risky assets and as the greenback stumbled to multi-year lows.

But the prospect of at least three U.S. rate rises in 2018 has helped reverse the dollar's slide. The dollar index .DXY , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, is up 0.9 percent so far this week.

On the other hand, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has hammered home the point that interest rates in the country were set to remain at record lows for a long time.

The policy outlook is similar in New Zealand, where the central bank has indicated a first move might not come until mid-2019.

Data out on Friday showed New Zealand retail sales rose a blistering 1.7 percent last quarter as consumers spashed out on groceries and dining out. the upbeat data did little to boost the kiwi.

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"Despite a solid outlook for consumer spending, low rates of retail price inflation are consistent with the official cash rate (OCR) remaining on hold for a considerable period," said Mark Smith, senior economist at ASB.

"We expect the OCR to remain at historical lows, with gradual moves higher from the second half of 2019."

New Zealand government bonds 0#NZTSY= were barely changed.

Australian government bond futures gained, with the three-year bond contract YTTc1 up 2.5 ticks at 97.895. The 10-year contract YTCc1 inched 3.5 ticks higher to 97.1700. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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