18.08.22 Macro Morning

 | Aug 18, 2022 10:02

Risk sentiment stumbled overnight with strong UK inflation numbers offset by the release of the latest FOMC minutes later in the session but it still resulted in falls on both sides of the Atlantic with the USD rising against the major currencies again. Euro escaped any further selling while the Australian dollar slumped well below the 70 cent level as traders weigh up today’s unemployment print. Bond markets saw more round-tripping of yields with 10 year Treasuries eventually finishing just below the 2.9% level while interest rate futures also still showing 120bps in rate rises factored in by the end of 2022 with at least 50bps coming in September’s meeting. Commodity prices continued to deflate with WTI and Brent crude slipping while gold remains unable to get back above the $1800USD per ounce level, making a new daily low.

Looking at share markets in Asia from yesterday’s session, where mainland Chinese share markets are finally finding some buyers Shanghai Composite lifting 0.4% into the close at 3292 points while the Hang Seng Index has bounced back, up 0.5% to 19942 points. The daily chart is still showing considerable overhead resistance and daily momentum readings remaining quite negative as the moving average channel moves sideways without any upside pressure however. The May lows could come under pressure soon if there is another break below the low moving average:

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