Oil prices gain by tight supply; other risk assets swoon on Fed rate hike

Reuters

Published Nov 02, 2022 11:39

Updated Nov 03, 2022 07:40

By David Gaffen

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Wednesday, gaining ground even as other risk assets dropped following the Federal Reserve's fourth interest rate hike of the year.

The market was supported by another decline in U.S. oil inventories as refineries picked up activity ahead of the winter heating season.

The oil market held its rally even as stocks fell and the dollar rallied after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said it was premature to think about pausing rate increases.

Brent crude settled up $1.51, or 1.6%, to $96.16 while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled up $1.63, or 1.8%, to $90 on the nose. The gains did ebb after settlement.

The U.S. Federal Reserve boosted interest rates by 75 basis points to bring down consumer inflation that has reached a four-decade high, though the central bank signaled future increases may be in smaller increments.

So far the Fed's moves have not affected the strong labor market, though its actions operate with a lagged effect.

Powell suggested it was premature to think about ending the interest-rate increases. Wall Street quickly gave back its gains, while the Treasury market also fell, boosting yields.

Oil held firm, a signal of worries about global energy supply. U.S. crude oil stocks fell about 3.1 million barrels on the week, according to federal data. Gasoline inventories while distillate stocks rose only marginally ahead of the key heating season, when demand is expected to pick up. [EIA/S]

"There's definitely a lot of focus on supply/demand fundamentals and inventories which we saw on the (EIA) release today, and about when the Russia sanctions kick in," said Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth US.

The European Union's embargo on Russian oil is set to start on Dec. 5. The ban, a reaction to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, will be followed by a halt on oil product imports in February. It is expected to limit Russia's ability to ship crude and products worldwide, and therefore could tighten the market.

Output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) fell in October for the first time since June, in addition to pumping 1.36 million barrels per day below its targets.