UPDATE 1-Australia's central bank warns of growing risks in housing

Reuters

Published Mar 21, 2017 13:26

UPDATE 1-Australia's central bank warns of growing risks in housing

* RBA sees 'build-up of risks' in housing market

* Futures market sees no chance of rate cut this year

* RBA would need major jobs, housing losses to cut - CBA economist (Adds home prices, economists comment, FX level, changes slug)

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, March 21 (Reuters) - Australia's central bank saw growing risks in the nation's hot housing market when it left rates steady earlier this month, underlining the case against further easing in policy.

Housing affordability, or the lack of it, has become a hot-button issue for the conservative government of Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, which has promised measures to ease the problem in its May budget.

Minutes of its March 7 meeting released on Tuesday showed the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) were generally optimistic about the A$1.7 trillion ($1.31 trillion) economy, which is transitioning away from a decade-long boom in mining investment.

However, board members felt there had been a "build-up of risks" in the housing market as borrowing for investment fuelled brisk price rises in Sydney and Melbourne.

"The Australian housing market continues to cause much angst around poor affordability and high household debt," said Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP Capital.

"Recent RBA commentary strongly hints that more macroprudential measures to tighten lending standards are on the way. This is in part about reducing the risks to financial stability when it's too early to consider raising rates."

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Tuesday showed home prices rose 4.1 percent in the December quarter, from the previous quarter, with Sydney up a red-hot 5.2 percent. pace has quickened even further this year. Figures from property consultant CoreLogic showed prices were currently growing at an annual 19 percent in Sydney, while gains across the five capital cities amounted to 12.7 percent.

Much of that fever has been fuelled by borrowing for investment properties, driving household debt up to a record 180 percent of disposable income.

RBA Governor Philip Lowe has argued there was little economic benefit in lowering rates from an already low 1.5 percent if all it does is lift debt to levels that would impact consumer spending power. out recently showed retail sales in January grew at a tepid pace for a third straight month, while the outlook for capital expenditure remained uninspiring. RBA did note that tighter supervision had contributed to "some" strengthening in lending standard by the banks, which had also raised rates on some mortgage products recently. Lowe repeatedly arguing against cutting rates further, financial markets 0#YIB: have all but priced out the chance of another cut this year. Some investors are even toying with the idea of hike in early 2018.

Get The App
Join the millions of people who stay on top of global financial markets with Investing.com.
Download Now

"In our view, it would take a sustained loss of momentum in job creation or a fall in dwelling prices for Lowe to entertain the idea of taking the policy rate lower," said Gareth Aird, senior economist at Commonwealth Bank.

"Neither outcome is in our central scenario and as such, we see the RBA on hold over 2017 and well into 2018."

($1 = 1.2935 Australian dollars)

Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

Sign out
Are you sure you want to sign out?
NoYes
CancelYes
Saving Changes