Australian dlr upset by market tumult, RBA tries to staunch bond bleeding

Reuters

Published Feb 26, 2021 14:47

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, Feb 26 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was sent reeling from multi-year peaks on Friday as a rout in bond markets spread to other risk assets, spurring the country's central bank to intervene to stem a savage selloff in government debt.

The Aussie had been flying high overnight as it cleared the $0.8000 barrier for the first time since early 2018, but gravity returned with a bump when world stock markets took fright.

That left the currency flat at $0.7860 AUD=D3 , from a top of $0.8007, having shed 1.2% late on Thursday. It also wiped out the week's gains and put pressure on support around $0.7820.

The New Zealand dollar suffered a similar fate, lapsing to $0.7369 NZD=D3 from a 3-1/2 year high of $0.7463. It was still up 0.8% for the week, having found solid support at $0.7310.

Still, the pullback was nothing compared to bonds, where markets saw some of the biggest price declines in years.

At one stage Australian 10-year bond futures AU10YT=RR were down as much as 23 ticks at an 11-month trough of 98.0450, before bouncing to 98.2600. That still left them nursing losses of 30 ticks for the week, the sharpest drop since mid-2015.

Cash yields spiked as far as 1.970% AU10YT=RR , levels unseen since April 2019, before easing to 1.74%. Again, they were still up a steep 32 basis points on the week.

The selling pressure became so intense the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) launched an unscheduled offer to buy A$3 billion ($2.36 billion) in three-year debt. That seemed to calm markets a little and three-year yields AU3YT=RR eased back to 0.127% from 0.157%. futures YTTc1 pared their early losses but were still down 8 ticks for the week at an implied yield of 0.315%.

Markets were also wagering the RBA might have to hike rates as early as next year, even when policy makers have said no move was likely until 2024 at the earliest. turning to rate hikes are understandable given the greater confidence about the economic outlook," said Peter Munckton, chief economist at Bank of Queensland.

"But pricing looks increasingly at odds with stated global central bank policies, which have made it clear that rates will rise later in this economic cycle than they have done over the past twenty-plus years."

New Zealand's central bank governor on Friday emphasised it would be patient in tightening, having kept all its stimulus policies in place at a policy meeting on Wednesday. ($1 = 1.2716 Australian dollars) (Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)

Get The App
Join the millions of people who stay on top of global financial markets with Investing.com.
Download Now

Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

Sign out
Are you sure you want to sign out?
NoYes
CancelYes
Saving Changes