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Australian dollar takes bite of rotten Apple

Published 06/03/2024, 09:28 am

DXY was flat last night:

AUD fell:

North Asia offered little:

Oil waltzed lower through OPEC:

Dirt meh:

Big miners are headed for big retest:

EM meh:

Junk still OK:

US yields were thumped:

Stocks got whacked:

I do wonder if the following chart is not about to revert to mean:

Sometime early this century, China began to influence DM bond yields lower. The recent COVID/Ukraine inflation shocks broke the influence.

But Chinese yields are sinking relentlessly as its broken economy slides inexorably into deflation. I do not think that temporary supply shocks are enough to prevent the return of Chinese influence on DM yields.

To wit:

Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL).’s iPhone sales in China fell by a surprising 24% over the first six weeks of this year, according to independent research that may stoke fears about worsening demand for the marquee but aging device.

Falling yields and stocks are a rarity these days.

We may finally be about to get some cleanout of risk positioning.

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