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This will be one of the busier weeks of the year with earnings, the Fed, lots of data, and a Treasury Quarterly Refunding announcement. There are many differing views on the QRA, and there is a good...
Global markets – week in review Global equity markets rebounded last week after a few weeks of losses, thanks to easing Middle East tensions, generally upbeat Mag-7 earnings reports, and an...
Wall Street rebounded on Friday night as European stocks also lifted as the latest US core PCE (personal consumption expenditure) figures came in cooler than expected, driving expectations of a sooner...
In Q1 2024, the US crossed the historic milestone of paying over $1 trillion on interest payments. As a consequence of an unprecedented $5 trillion money supply boost since 2020, the US experienced an...
Yesterday’s first-quarter GDP report delivered a one-two punch for markets: slower-than-expected growth and hotter-than-expected inflation. In reaction, stocks fell and US Treasury yields rose....
The latest retail sales data suggests a robust consumer, leading economists to become even more optimistic about more robust economic growth this year. To wit: “It has been two years since...
US 10-Year moved sharply higher on surprise GDP report. What's next? Original Post
The HEM is a benchmark used by many lenders to estimate a borrower’s living expenses, helping to determine how much someone can afford in home loan repayments.It is designed to be used to...
Risk markets were spooked overnight by forecast US GDP figures just as tonight’s latest PCE print is predicted to come in hotter than expected. The twin whammy of low growth and higher inflation...
The airline industry is gearing up for what could be a record-breaking summer travel season, if forecasts turn out to be correct. Despite challenges such as the Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX 9 grounding...
Here is a trillion (dollar) reasons why the US economy is likely to hold up until elections: between now and then, Yellen is likely to drain the Treasury General Account (TGA) and unleash a wave of...
Stocks finished flattish on the day, but we are moving into the busiest part of the week. Now that Meta’s results are out of the way, we will have GDP and PCE to finish the week off, along with...
To be successful, active investors have to watch (and create) indicators that the mainstream media do not follow.Trading is hard, requiring discipline and a strict set of rules. Today, we look at a...
The average 12-month trailing yield for the major asset classes has ticked up so far this year, based on a set of proxy ETFs through yesterday’s close (Apr. 23) vs. early...
The bad news is that the contraction in the money supply appears to be over. That’s not bad news per se (see below), but it’s bad in that the anti-inflationary work that was happening is...