🔮 Better than the Oracle? Our Fair Value found this +42% bagger 5 months before Buffett bought itRead More

FOREX-Euro falls on reports Italian budget meeting may be delayed

Published 27/09/2018, 08:36 pm
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro falls on reports Italian budget meeting may be delayed
EUR/USD
-
USD/ZAR
-
USD/MXN
-
SOGN
-
DX
-
US10YT=X
-
DXY
-

* Euro reverses gains after Italian newspaper reports

* Dollar rallies, largely unmoved by Fed rate hike

* Australian dollar hit hard; emerging currencies rally

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2018 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh (Adds quote, details, updates prices)

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON, Sept 27 (Reuters) - The euro fell on Thursday on media reports that an Italian budget meeting was likely to be delayed, spooking traders concerned that the ruling parties will push for a bigger deficit target in the euro zone's third-largest economy.

Political wrangling over the budget in heavily indebted Italy has overshadowed a recent revival in the euro's fortunes against the dollar.

Italian daily La Stampa said Economy Minister Giovanni Tria "was ready to leave," before a spokeswoman for the ministry denied that the minister planned to quit. analysts attributed the euro's drop to a report by the Corriere della Serra that the budget meeting scheduled for 1600 GMT was likely to be delayed.

Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte's office denied the cabinet meeting would be delayed but with Italy's new government struggling to contain the battle over fiscal policy, investors dumped the euro. currency fell half a percent to as low as $1.1685 EUR= , its weakest since Sept. 20, before recovering somewhat to trade at $1.1710.

"There is concern the parties will push for a bigger deficit target," said Alvin Tan, an FX strategist at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN).

He said Tria's reported willingness to accept a deficit target of 2 percent of economic output would be the "threshold" at which the market would judge new proposals.

Thanks to the euro's decline, the dollar added to its modest overnight gains following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike. The dollar index .DXY rose 0.4 percent to 94.522.

The index had scaled a 13-month high in mid-August, drawing safe-haven demand as trade-related tensions buffeted riskier currencies. The index has since fallen about 2.8 percent as investors become less concerned about the U.S.-China trade conflict impacting global growth.

The U.S. Federal Reserve, as expected, raised rates for the third time in 2018. The central bank still foresees another rate hike in December, three more next year, and one increase in 2020. also dropped a reference in its statement to the word "accommodative", although Fed Chairman Jerome Powell later said policy was still accommodative.

Long-term U.S. Treasury yields US10YT=RR declined following the Fed's tightening, pulling back from four-month highs of 3.11 percent scaled earlier in the week, with some investors thought to have wagered the Fed would hint at faster monetary tightening. US/

"There's a limit to how much stronger the dollar can be," said Guy Miller, Head of Macroeconomics at Zurich Insurance, pointing to the extent to which Fed tightening is already priced in and his prediction that the U.S. economy would slip into recession in 2020.

The Australian dollar AUD= , seen as a barometer of global investor risk appetite and Chinese demand for goods, fell 0.4 percent to $0.7226, its lowest since Sept. 19 and close to its 2-1/2 year lows of $0.7085 touched earlier this month.

Emerging market currencies such as the Mexican peso MXN= and South Africa's rand ZAR= , sent lower by the dollar's rally in recent month, strengthened, relieved that the Fed's projected path of rate increases were in line with expectations.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.