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3 Things to watch: Lithium supply struggles, Powell's careful hikes

Published 23/06/2023, 10:34 am
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Lithium Producers Face Delays and Shortages Amid EV Boom

Investing.com - As the demand for electric vehicles (EVs) skyrockets, lithium producers are becoming increasingly concerned that obstacles such as mine permitting delays, staffing shortages, and inflation could prevent them from meeting the world's aggressive electrification targets. Previously a niche metal used mainly in ceramics and pharmaceuticals, lithium has become one of the most sought-after metals due to ambitious EV plans from companies like Stellantis and Ford.

This high demand raises concerns about how quickly electric vehicles can replace internal combustion engines – a critical aspect of the green energy transition. Insiders worry that battery manufacturers may face a crisis if they cannot secure enough lithium feedstock to meet their production needs.

Lake Resources recently announced a project delay at its Kachi lithium project in Argentina due to power supply and logistical issues. Meanwhile, Albemarle, the world's largest lithium producer, predicts global lithium demand will outstrip supply by 500,000 metric tons in 2030.

Despite these challenges facing mining companies - including difficulties hiring technical talent and increasing costs - more mines must be built worldwide to ensure an adequate supply chain for this essential battery component.

Japan's CPI Surprises as Board Members Advocate Loose Policies

Japan's core inflation rate in May registered at 3.2% on Friday, still above the BOJ's desired 2% level but lower than April's figure of 3.4%. However, the central bank remains cautious about retracting its stimulus program too quickly.

Bank of Japan (BOJ) board member Asahi Noguchi emphasized on Thursday that maintaining ultra-loose monetary policy is crucial in ensuring continued wage growth trends necessary to achieve their 2% inflation target. Core consumer inflation levels have consistently remained above 2%, but Noguchi expects it will drop below this benchmark around September or October as past raw material cost increases fade away.

Whether core consumer inflation will return to and remain above the 2% target depends on both wages and service prices, Noguchi said. He stressed that it's essential for the BOJ to maintain monetary easing policies so that wage growth trends continue to strengthen.

Fed Chair Powell Indicates 'Careful Pace' for Future Rate Hikes

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated on Thursday that interest rates would be adjusted at a "careful pace" as policymakers approach their stopping point for this historic monetary policy tightening phase. By holding rates steady during last week's meeting, Powell explained that the Fed aimed to slow down borrowing cost increases.

After ten consecutive meetings with rate hikes – including some as high as three-quarters of a percentage point – investors now expect further hikes beginning in July, possibly evaluated every other session similar to previous tightening cycles.

Although most policymakers anticipate at least two more quarter-point rate increases by year-end, opinions within the Fed vary regarding how high and when these adjustments should take place.

Powell emphasized his confidence in modest economic growth forecasts alongside slight unemployment upticks and gradually declining inflation throughout this year.

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