* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
* Nikkei, Shanghai at 2-month tops as new tariffs avoided
* Treasury bonds off as market scales back bets on Fed easing
* PMI factory surveys disappoint, from China to Japan
* Oil prices jump as OPEC looks set to extend supply cuts
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, July 1 (Reuters) - Stocks rallied and bonds retreated in Asia on Monday as a thaw in the Sino-U.S. trade dispute averted one threat to the global economy, leading investors to pare wagers on aggressive policy easing by the major central banks.
The dollar firmed modestly on the safe-haven yen as Treasury yields rose and futures reined in bets for a half-point rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve this month.
"The Trump-Xi G20 meeting looks to be a modest win for China and a positive for risk assets short term, but well within the range of expected outcomes," said Westpac economist Richard Franulovich.
"Fed cut expectations are likely to see a sustained trimming, though more so for their meeting on July 31 than over the next year," he added. "A 50 basis point rate cut seems very unlikely."
The initial reaction was one of relief that new tariffs were avoided and Japan's Nikkei .N225 climbed 1.6% to a two-month top. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS added 0.4%.
Chinese blue chips .CSI300 climbed 2.1% to their highest since late April. E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 rose 0.8% and FTSE futures FFIc1 0.5%.
Treasury futures TYc1 slid 10 ticks as yields on 10-year notes US10YT=RR edged up 3 basis points to 2.03%.
Fed funds 0#FF: dropped over 5 ticks as the market scaled back the probability of a half-point rate cut this month to around 13%, from nearer 50% a week ago. FEDWATCH
The United States and China agreed on Saturday to restart trade talks after President Donald Trump offered concessions to his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping when the two met at the sidelines of the G20 summit in Japan over the weekend. These included no new tariffs and an easing of restrictions on tech company Huawei HWT.UL in order to reduce tensions with Beijing.
China agreed to make unspecified new purchases of U.S. farm products and return to the negotiating table. DONE
Still, no deadline was set for a deal and much damage has already been done, with two surveys of Chinese manufacturing out over the weekend showing a contraction in activity.
The official Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) held at 49.4 in June, just missing forecasts, while the Caixin/Markit PMI dropped to 49.4, the worst reading since January. from Japan and South Korea showed similar slowdowns. a worst case outcome has been averted, the threat of tariffs remains and it is unlikely the truce gives much confidence to firms' investment and hiring decisions," said Tapas Strickland, a director of economics at NAB.
"As such, it is likely that soft manufacturing conditions will persist until if and when a fuller agreement is fleshed out."
The reaction in currency markets was to strip some recent gain from safe harbours like the yen and Swiss franc. The dollar crept up 0.2% on the yen to 108.15 JPY= and gained 0.4% on the franc to 0.9801 CHF= .
The dollar added 0.2% on a basket of currencies to 96.355 .DXY , but was little changed on the euro at $1.1355 EUR= . The dollar dipped 0.3% on the Chinese yuan to 6.8432 CNY= .
The dollar's gains took some of the shine off gold, which fell 1.2% to $1,392.86 per ounce XAU= .
Oil prices sprang higher on news OPEC and its allies look set to extend supply cuts at least until the end of 2019 as Iraq joined top producers Saudi Arabia and Russia in endorsing the policy. O/R
Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose $1.27 to $66.01, while U.S. crude CLc1 gained $1.19 to $59.66 a barrel.
<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Asia stock markets
https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4 Asia-Pacific valuations
https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Editing by Sam Holmes & Shei Navaratnam)